Stars vs. Lightning Prediction & Picks - November 23

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The Dallas Stars (12-6) and Tampa Bay Lightning (10-6-2) play at Amalie Arena on Saturday, November 23 at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The Stars defeated the San Jose Sharks 5-2 in their last outing, while the Lightning are coming off a 7-6 overtime loss to the Columbus Blue Jackets.

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here's a glimpse at which squad we predict will bring home the victory in Saturday's action on the ice.

The Lightning have a 5-3-2 record in their past 10 contests. They have totaled 35 goals while giving up 26 in that time. On the power play, 28 opportunities have resulted in seven goals (25.0% conversion rate).

Stars vs. Lightning Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projection model for this encounter expects a final result of Lightning 4, Stars 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-103)
  • Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.3 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)

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Stars Splits and Trends

  • The Stars are 12-6 overall and 1-0-1 in overtime games.
  • Dallas has four points (2-1-0) in the three games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • In the one game this season the Stars scored just one goal, they lost.
  • Dallas has scored exactly two goals in seven games this season (3-4-0 record, six points).
  • The Stars have scored more than two goals in 10 games (9-1-0, 18 points).
  • In the four games when Dallas has scored a single power-play goal, it registered six points after finishing 3-1-0.
  • In the 12 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Dallas is 8-4-0 (16 points).
  • The Stars have been outshot by opponents in five games, going 4-1-0 to register eight points.

Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning (10-6-2 overall) have posted a record of 2-2-4 in matchups that have required OT this season.
  • Tampa Bay has earned seven points (3-2-1) in its six games that finished with a one-goal margin.
  • This season the Lightning scored just one goal in one game and they lost in overtime.
  • Tampa Bay failed to win all three games this season when it scored two goals.
  • The Lightning have scored more than two goals 14 times, earning 21 points from those matchups (10-3-1).
  • This season, Tampa Bay has capitalized on a single power-play goal in four games has a record of 2-2-0 in those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Tampa Bay has posted a record of 5-4-0 (10 points).
  • The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in seven games. The Lightning finished 4-1-2 in those contests (10 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Stars Rank Stars AVG Lightning AVG Lightning Rank
11th 3.39 Goals Scored 3.67 5th
1st 2.33 Goals Allowed 3 13th
5th 31.5 Shots 27.6 21st
5th 26.6 Shots Allowed 28.4 11th
24th 16.07% Power Play % 21.43% 12th
5th 84.91% Penalty Kill % 76.79% 23rd

Stars vs. Lightning Game Time and TV Channel

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