Stars vs. Canadiens Prediction & Picks - January 16

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The Dallas Stars (28-14-1) host the Montreal Canadiens (21-18-4) on Thursday, January 16 at 8:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The Stars have won three straight at home and the Canadiens are on a three-game road winning streak.

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Prepare for this matchup by checking out our prediction for who will come out on top in Thursday's hockey action.

Over the last 10 games, the Canadiens have gone 7-2-1 while scoring 33 total goals (four power-play goals on 24 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 16.7%). They have conceded 24 goals.

Stars vs. Canadiens Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projection model for this contest expects a final tally of Stars 4, Canadiens 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Stars (-218)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Stars (-1.5)

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Stars Splits and Trends

  • The Stars are 5-1-6 in overtime contests on their way to a 28-14-1 overall record.
  • Dallas has 15 points (7-4-1) in the 12 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • In the four games this season the Stars scored just one goal, they've finished 1-3-0 (two points).
  • Dallas has scored exactly two goals in 14 games this season (5-8-1 record, 11 points).
  • The Stars have scored more than two goals 25 times, and are 22-3-0 in those games (to record 44 points).
  • In the 13 games when Dallas has scored a single power-play goal, it registered 18 points after finishing 9-4-0.
  • In the 27 games when it outshot its opponent, Dallas is 16-10-1 (33 points).
  • The Stars have been outshot by opponents 15 times, and went 12-3-0 (24 points).

Canadiens Splits and Trends

  • The Canadiens have a record of 21-18-4 this season and are 6-4-10 in overtime games.
  • Montreal has earned 18 points (8-2-2) in its 12 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
  • Across the six games this season the Canadiens finished with only one goal, they have earned five points.
  • Montreal has six points (2-7-2) when scoring two goals this season.
  • The Canadiens have scored at least three goals in 25 games, earning 35 points from those contests.
  • This season, Montreal has recorded a single power-play goal in 21 games and registered 25 points with a record of 11-7-3.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Montreal is 11-4-0 (22 points).
  • The Canadiens have been outshot by opponents 26 times this season, and earned 22 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Stars Rank Stars AVG Canadiens AVG Canadiens Rank
9th 3.21 Goals Scored 3 14th
3rd 2.44 Goals Allowed 3.28 26th
4th 30.6 Shots 25.6 29th
4th 26.4 Shots Allowed 28.7 18th
26th 17.91% Power Play % 21.37% 17th
1st 85.22% Penalty Kill % 82% 10th

Stars vs. Canadiens Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Thursday, January 16, 2025 at 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas

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