Stars vs. Kings Prediction & Picks - February 28

The Dallas Stars (37-19-2) will attempt to continue a three-game home win streak when they play the Los Angeles Kings (31-17-8) on Friday, February 28 at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

Here is our prediction for who will claim the victory in Friday's game.

In the past 10 games, the Kings are 5-3-2 while putting up 29 goals against 26 goals allowed. On 20 power-play opportunities during that span, they have scored two goals (10.0%).

Stars vs. Kings Predictions for Friday

Our computer projection model for this matchup calls for a final result of Stars 3, Kings 2.

Moneyline Pick: Stars (-130)
Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 5.7 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Kings (+1.5)

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Stars Splits and Trends

The Stars (37-19-2 overall) have a 6-2-8 record in games that have gone to overtime.
Dallas is 10-6-1 (21 points) in its 17 games decided by one goal.
In the seven games this season the Stars registered only one goal, they've finished 1-6-0 (two points).
Dallas has finished 6-8-1 in the 15 games this season when it scored two goals (registering 13 points).
The Stars have scored three or more goals in 36 games (30-5-1, 61 points).
In the 20 games when Dallas has scored a lone power-play goal, it has a 16-4-0 record (32 points).
In the 32 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Dallas is 19-12-1 (39 points).
The Stars have been outshot by opponents 24 times, and went 17-6-1 (35 points).

Kings Splits and Trends

The Kings have posted a record of 3-8-11 in overtime matchups on their way to an overall mark of 31-17-8.
Los Angeles has earned 26 points (10-3-6) in its 19 games decided by one goal.
This season the Kings scored only one goal in eight games and they've earned two points (0-6-2) in those contests.
Los Angeles has earned 14 points (5-7-4 record) this season when scoring two goals .
The Kings have scored three or more goals 28 times, earning 54 points from those matchups (26-0-2).
Los Angeles has scored a single power-play goal in 17 games this season and has registered 27 points from those matchups.
When outshooting its opponent this season, Los Angeles is 17-10-5 (39 points).
The Kings have been outshot by opponents in 19 games, going 11-6-2 to register 24 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Stars Rank	Stars AVG		Kings AVG	Kings Rank
6th	3.31	Goals Scored	2.89	17th
5th	2.57	Goals Allowed	2.54	3rd
5th	29.7	Shots	27.7	21st
9th	27.2	Shots Allowed	25.3	2nd
21st	20.23%	Power Play %	15.15%	29th
1st	85.16%	Penalty Kill %	81.76%	8th

Stars vs. Kings Game Time and TV Channel

When: Friday, February 28, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
TV Channel: ESPN+
Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas