A pair of the NBA's best scorers face off when Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (first, 32.9 PPG) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (53-11) host Nikola Jokic (third, 28.8 PPG) and the Denver Nuggets (41-23) on Monday, March 10, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET on NBA TV, FDSOK, ALT, and KTVD. The Thunder are 9-point favorites.
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Thunder vs. Nuggets Predictions for Monday
Our computer projection model for this contest expects a final score of Thunder 122, Nuggets 110.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-379)
- Total Pick: Under 238 (computer predicts 231.5 points)
- Pick ATS: Thunder (-9)
Recent Thunder vs. Nuggets Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/9/2025 | Thunder | -7.5 | 243.5 | -311 | +249 | 127-103 OKC |
| 11/6/2024 | Thunder | -7 | 224.5 | -256 | +215 | 124-122 DEN |
| 10/24/2024 | Nuggets | -2 | 228.5 | -134 | +113 | 102-87 OKC |
| 1/31/2024 | Thunder | -5.5 | 223 | -221 | +180 | 105-100 OKC |
| 12/29/2023 | Nuggets | -1.5 | 237.5 | -125 | +105 | 119-93 OKC |
| 12/16/2023 | Nuggets | -5 | 237.5 | -206 | +171 | 118-117 OKC |
| 10/29/2023 | Nuggets | -3.5 | 230.5 | -163 | +139 | 128-95 DEN |
Thunder 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City has gone 40-23-1 ATS this season.
- The Thunder have an 18-14-1 record against the spread when favored by 9 points or more this season.
- The teams have hit the over in 36 of Oklahoma City's 64 games with a set total.
- This season, the Thunder have won 52 out of the 62 games, or 83.9%, in which they've been favored.
- This season, Oklahoma City has won 28 of its 33 games, or 84.8%, when favored by at least -379 on the moneyline.
Nuggets 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Denver is 31-33-0 against the spread this year.
- Of Denver's 64 games with a set total, 37 have hit the over (57.8%).
- The Nuggets have been the moneyline underdog 15 total times this season. They've gone 7-8 in those games.
- Denver has played as a moneyline underdog of +299 or longer in only one game this season, which it lost.
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Thunder vs. Nuggets Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Nikola Topic: Out For Season (Acl),
Ajay Mitchell: Out (Toe)
Nuggets
Nuggets:
DaRon Holmes: Out For Season (Achilles),
Julian Strawther: Out (Knee),
Aaron Gordon: Day-To-Day (Calf)
Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Monday, March 10, 2025
- Game time: 8 p.m. ET
- TV channel: NBA TV, FDSOK, ALT, and KTVD
- Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- Arena: Paycom Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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