The Tampa Bay Lightning (39-23-5) visit the Dallas Stars (43-21-3) at American Airlines Center on Thursday, March 20 at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Stars are on an eight-game home winning streak.
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Here is our pick for who will secure the victory in Thursday's game.
The Stars' offense has scored 39 goals during their last 10 outings, while their defense has allowed 32 goals. They have recorded 29 power-play opportunities during that span, and have scored 10 goals (34.5%). They are 6-3-1 over those games.
Lightning vs. Stars Predictions for Thursday
Our computer projections model for this game calls for a final tally of Stars 4, Lightning 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Stars (-100)
- Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
- Spread Pick: Stars (+1.5)
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Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning are 39-23-5 overall and 5-5-10 in overtime contests.
- Tampa Bay has 19 points (8-8-3) in the 19 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
- In the eight games this season the Lightning registered just one goal, they finished 0-7-1.
- Tampa Bay has finished 1-8-2 in the 11 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering four points).
- The Lightning have scored more than two goals in 46 games (38-6-2, 78 points).
- In the 25 games when Tampa Bay has scored a single power-play goal, it has an 18-6-1 record (37 points).
- In the 34 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 21-13-0 (42 points).
- The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 29 games. The Lightning went 17-7-5 in those contests (39 points).
Stars Splits and Trends
- The Stars have posted a record of 8-3-11 in overtime contests as part of an overall mark of 43-21-3.
- In the 22 games Dallas has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 28 points.
- This season the Stars scored only one goal in eight games and they've earned two points (1-7-0) in those contests.
- Dallas has 13 points (6-8-1) when scoring a pair of goals this season.
- The Stars have scored more than two goals 44 times, earning 74 points from those matchups (36-6-2).
- Dallas has scored a single power-play goal in 22 games this season and has registered 36 points from those matchups.
- When it outshoots its opponent this season, Dallas has posted a record of 21-13-1 (43 points).
- The Stars have been outshot by opponents 30 times this season, and earned 44 points in those games.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Lightning Rank | Lightning AVG | Stars AVG | Stars Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd | 3.51 | Goals Scored | 3.39 | 4th |
| 7th | 2.64 | Goals Allowed | 2.63 | 5th |
| 10th | 28.7 | Shots | 29.1 | 8th |
| 15th | 28.3 | Shots Allowed | 27.5 | 11th |
| 5th | 25.79% | Power Play % | 22.61% | 15th |
| 5th | 82.46% | Penalty Kill % | 84.27% | 2nd |
Lightning vs. Stars Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Thursday, March 20, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
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