Avalanche vs. Stars Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs First Round Game 1

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The Colorado Avalanche visit the Dallas Stars Saturday at American Airlines Center in the first game of the NHL Playoffs First Round, beginning at 8:30 p.m. ET on TNT. The Avalanche are the favorite (-156) in this matchup against the Stars (+131).

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here is our pick for which squad will bring home the win in Saturday's NHL Playoffs First Round action.

Avalanche vs. Stars Predictions for Saturday

Our computer model for this matchup expects a final score of Stars 4, Avalanche 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Stars (+131)
  • Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Stars (+1.5)

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Avalanche Splits and Trends

  • The Avalanche have a 49-29-4 record overall, with a 9-4-13 record in games that have needed overtime.
  • Colorado has 27 points (13-7-1) in the 21 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • Looking at the 14 times this season the Avalanche ended a game with just one goal, they have a 1-11-2 record, good for four points.
  • Colorado has scored exactly two goals in 14 games this season (5-7-2 record, 12 points).
  • The Avalanche have scored at least three goals 51 times, and are 43-8-0 in those games (to record 86 points).
  • In the 31 games when Colorado has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it registered 45 points after finishing 22-8-1.
  • In the 55 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Colorado is 34-18-3 (71 points).
  • The Avalanche have been outshot by opponents 22 times, and went 13-9-0 (26 points).

Stars Splits and Trends

  • The Stars have a 9-6-15 record in overtime matchups this season and a 50-26-6 overall record.
  • In the 26 games Dallas has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 34 points.
  • This season the Stars recorded just one goal in nine games and they've earned two points (1-8-0) in those contests.
  • Dallas has earned 15 points (6-8-3 record) this season when scoring exactly two goals .
  • The Stars have earned 89 points in their 55 games with three or more goals scored.
  • Dallas has scored a lone power-play goal in 27 games this season and has recorded 41 points from those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Dallas is 21-13-1 (43 points).
  • The Stars have been outshot by opponents 45 times this season, and earned 61 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Avalanche Rank Avalanche AVG Stars AVG Stars Rank
6th 3.33 Goals Scored 3.35 3rd
11th 2.82 Goals Allowed 2.71 6th
5th 29.8 Shots 28.4 13th
3rd 25.9 Shots Allowed 29 23rd
7th 25.22% Power Play % 22% 17th
12th 79.51% Penalty Kill % 82.02% 4th

Avalanche vs. Stars Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Live Stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas

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