Avalanche vs. Stars Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs First Round Game 5

The Dallas Stars take their home ice at American Airlines Center to square off against the Colorado Avalanche in Game 5 of the NHL Playoffs First Round on Monday, April 28, beginning at 9:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. The series is tied up at 2-2. The Avalanche are listed with -140 odds on the moneyline against the Stars (+118).

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Before this matchup, here's who we project to secure the win in Monday's NHL Playoffs First Round action.

Avalanche vs. Stars Predictions for Monday

Our computer projections model for this encounter expects a final tally of Stars 4, Avalanche 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Stars (+118)
• Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
• Spread Pick: Stars (+1.5)

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Avalanche Splits and Trends

• The Avalanche are 9-6-15 in overtime contests as part of a 49-29-4 overall record.
• In the 23 games Colorado has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 13-7-3 record (good for 29 points).
• The 15 times this season the Avalanche ended a game with only one goal, they went 1-11-3 (five points).
• Colorado has taken 12 points from the 14 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (5-7-2 record).
• The Avalanche have scored more than two goals 54 times, and are 45-8-1 in those games (to register 91 points).
• In the 34 games when Colorado has scored a single power-play goal, it went 24-8-2 to record 50 points.
• In the 56 games when it outshot its opponent, Colorado is 35-18-3 (73 points).
• The Avalanche's opponents have had more shots in 23 games. The Avalanche went 13-9-1 in those matchups (27 points).

Stars Splits and Trends

• The Stars have posted a record of 11-6-17 in overtime contests as part of an overall mark of 50-26-6.
• In the 28 games Dallas has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 38 points.
• This season the Stars registered just one goal in 10 games and they've earned two points (1-9-0) in those contests.
• When Dallas has scored a pair of goals this season, they've earned 17 points (7-8-3 record).
• The Stars have scored at least three goals 56 times, earning 91 points from those matchups (44-9-3).
• Dallas has scored a single power-play goal in 30 games this season and has registered 45 points from those matchups.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Dallas is 22-13-1 (45 points).
• The Stars have been outshot by opponents 46 times this season, and earned 61 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Avalanche vs. Stars Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Monday, April 28, 2025 at 9:30 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas

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