Thunder vs. Nuggets Game 2 Predictions, Odds & Stats – May 7

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The Denver Nuggets are heavy 11-point underdogs heading into Game 2 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center on Wednesday, starting at 9:30 p.m. ET on TNT, truTV, and MAX. The Nuggets have a 1-0 series lead.

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Thunder vs. Nuggets Predictions for Wednesday

Our computer projection model for this contest predicts a final result of Thunder 123, Nuggets 109.

  • Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-565)
  • Total Pick: Over 230.5 (computer predicts 231.7 points)
  • Pick ATS: Thunder (-11)

Recent Thunder vs. Nuggets Matchups

Thunder vs Nuggets (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
5/5/2025 Thunder -10.5 228.5 -481 +366 121-119 DEN
3/10/2025 Thunder -8.5 240.5 -403 +315 140-127 DEN
3/9/2025 Thunder -7.5 243.5 -311 +249 127-103 OKC
11/6/2024 Thunder -7 224.5 -256 +215 124-122 DEN
10/24/2024 Nuggets -2 228.5 -134 +113 102-87 OKC
1/31/2024 Thunder -5.5 223 -221 +180 105-100 OKC
12/29/2023 Nuggets -1.5 237.5 -125 +105 119-93 OKC
12/16/2023 Nuggets -5 237.5 -206 +171 118-117 OKC
10/29/2023 Nuggets -3.5 230.5 -163 +139 128-95 DEN

Thunder 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Oklahoma City is 54-26-2 against the spread this season.
  • The Thunder have a 21-10-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 11 points or more.
  • Oklahoma City's games have gone over the point total in 46 out of 82 opportunities (56.1%).
  • This season, the Thunder have been favored 79 times and won 66, or 83.5%, of those games.
  • This season, Oklahoma City has won 28 of its 30 games, or 93.3%, when favored by at least -565 on the moneyline.

Nuggets 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • So far this year, Denver has put together a 38-44-0 record against the spread.
  • When they have played as at least 11-point underdogs this season, the Nuggets are 1-0 against the spread.
  • Of Denver's 82 games with a set total, 49 have hit the over (59.8%).
  • The Nuggets have put together a 10-10 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 50% of those games).
  • Denver has played as a moneyline underdog of +414 or longer in only one game this season, which it won.

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Thunder vs. Nuggets Injury Report

Thunder

Thunder:

Nikola Topic: Out For Season (Acl)

Nuggets

Nuggets:

DaRon Holmes: Out For Season (Achilles)

Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Wednesday, May 7, 2025
  • Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: TNT, truTV, and MAX
  • Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • Arena: Paycom Center
  • Live stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)

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