The Oklahoma City Thunder are 8.5-point favorites for a decisive Game 7 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Paycom Center on Sunday, tipping off at 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC. The series is tied 3-3.
Watch the NBA, other live sports and more on Fubo. What is Fubo? Fubo is a streaming service that gives you access to your favorite live sports and shows on demand. Use our link to sign up.
Thunder vs. Nuggets Predictions for Sunday
Our computer projection model for this matchup calls for a final score of Thunder 122, Nuggets 109.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-356)
- Total Pick: Over 213 (computer predicts 231.0 points)
- Pick ATS: Thunder (-8.5)
Recent Thunder vs. Nuggets Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/15/2025 | Thunder | -5 | 217 | -196 | +163 | 119-107 DEN |
| 5/13/2025 | Thunder | -10 | 222 | -448 | +345 | 112-105 OKC |
| 5/11/2025 | Thunder | -6.5 | 228 | -275 | +224 | 92-87 OKC |
| 5/9/2025 | Thunder | -6.5 | 232 | -266 | +217 | 113-104 DEN |
| 5/7/2025 | Thunder | -10 | 229.5 | -488 | +371 | 149-106 OKC |
| 5/5/2025 | Thunder | -10.5 | 228.5 | -481 | +366 | 121-119 DEN |
| 3/10/2025 | Thunder | -8.5 | 240.5 | -403 | +315 | 140-127 DEN |
| 3/9/2025 | Thunder | -7.5 | 243.5 | -311 | +249 | 127-103 OKC |
| 11/6/2024 | Thunder | -7 | 224.5 | -256 | +215 | 124-122 DEN |
| 10/24/2024 | Nuggets | -2 | 228.5 | -134 | +113 | 102-87 OKC |
| 1/31/2024 | Thunder | -5.5 | 223 | -221 | +180 | 105-100 OKC |
| 12/29/2023 | Nuggets | -1.5 | 237.5 | -125 | +105 | 119-93 OKC |
| 12/16/2023 | Nuggets | -5 | 237.5 | -206 | +171 | 118-117 OKC |
| 10/29/2023 | Nuggets | -3.5 | 230.5 | -163 | +139 | 128-95 DEN |
Thunder 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City has a 54-26-2 record against the spread this season.
- The Thunder are 29-16-1 against the spread when favored by 8.5 points or more this season.
- A total of 46 of Oklahoma City's 82 games with a set total have hit the over (56.1%).
- This season, the Thunder have been favored 79 times and won 66, or 83.5%, of those games.
- This season, Oklahoma City has won 38 of its 45 games, or 84.4%, when favored by at least -356 on the moneyline.
Nuggets 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Denver's ATS record is 38-44-0 this season.
- The Nuggets are 2-1 against the spread when an underdog by 8.5 points or more this year.
- Of Denver's 82 games with a set total, 49 have hit the over (59.8%).
- The Nuggets have won 10 of the 20 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (50%).
- Denver has a record of 2-1 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +281 or longer (66.7%).
Looking for NBA tickets? Head to StubHub today and see your team live.
Thunder vs. Nuggets Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Nikola Topic: Out For Season (Acl)
Nuggets
Nuggets:
DaRon Holmes: Out For Season (Achilles),
Hunter Tyson: Day-To-Day (Ankle),
Aaron Gordon: Day-To-Day (Hamstring)
Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Sunday, May 18, 2025
- Game time: 3:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ABC
- Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- Arena: Paycom Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
Sign up for NBA League Pass to get access to games, live and on-demand, and more for the entire season and offseason.