Thunder vs. Rockets Predictions, Odds & Stats – Oct. 21

Houston Rockets v Atlanta Hawks

Photo: Kevin C. Cox / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Houston Rockets will start their 2025-26 season as 7.5-point underdogs against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center on Tuesday, October 21, 2025. The game begins at 7:30 p.m. ET on NBC and Peacock.

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Thunder vs. Rockets Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer model for this game expects a final score of Thunder 119, Rockets 105.

  • Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-310)
  • Total Pick: Under 226.5 (computer predicts 224.5 points)
  • Pick ATS: Thunder (-7.5)

Recent Thunder vs. Rockets Matchups

Thunder vs Rockets (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
4/4/2025 Thunder -5.5 227 -230 +190 125-111 HOU
3/3/2025 Thunder -11.5 228.5 -562 +409 137-128 OKC
12/14/2024 Thunder -5.5 215.5 -245 +199 111-96 OKC
12/1/2024 Thunder -1.5 220.5 -117 -102 119-116 HOU
11/8/2024 Thunder -7.5 222 -346 +271 126-107 OKC

Thunder 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Oklahoma City covered the spread 54 times in 82 games last season.
  • Against the spread, as 7.5-point favorites or greater, the Thunder went 35-17-1 last season.
  • Of Oklahoma City's 82 games last year, 46 hit the over.
  • The Thunder put together a 66-13 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 83.5% of those games).
  • When it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -310 or shorter last year, Oklahoma City had a record of 42-7 (85.7%).

Rockets 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Houston won 43 games against the spread last season, while failing to cover 39 times.
  • As a 7.5-point underdog or more, the Rockets had one win ATS (1-3) last season.
  • A total of 45 of Houston's games last season went over the point total.
  • Last season, the Rockets won 11 out of the 28 games, or 39.3%, in which they were the underdog.
  • Houston did not win as an underdog of +248 or more on the moneyline last season in four games with those odds or longer.

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Thunder vs. Rockets Injury Report

Thunder

Thunder:

Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee),

Jalen Williams: Out (Wrist)

Rockets

Rockets:

Fred VanVleet: Out For Season (Acl),

Dorian Finney-Smith: Out (Ankle)

Thunder vs. Rockets Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Tuesday, October 21, 2025
  • Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: NBC and Peacock
  • Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • Arena: Paycom Center
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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