Stars vs. Penguins Prediction & Picks - Dec. 7

The Dallas Stars (19-5-5) host the Pittsburgh Penguins (14-7-5) on Sunday, Dec. 7 at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Stars have won three in a row at home and the Penguins are riding a three-game road winning streak.

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Ahead of this matchup, here is who we predict to emerge victorious in Sunday's hockey contest.

Over the last 10 outings for the Penguins, their offense has totaled 28 goals while their defense has allowed 29 (they have a 5-3-2 record in those games). In 24 power-play opportunities during that time, they have capitalized with eight goals (33.3% conversion rate).

Stars vs. Penguins Predictions for Sunday

Our computer projection model for this matchup expects a final score of Stars 4, Penguins 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Stars (-175)
• Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
• Spread Pick: Stars (-1.5)

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Stars Splits and Trends

• The Stars have a 19-5-5 record overall, with a 3-5-8 record in games that have gone to overtime.
• In the 13 games Dallas has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 9-1-3 record (good for 21 points).
• In the four games this season the Stars recorded just one goal, they went 1-2-1 (three points).
• Dallas has scored two goals in five games this season (1-1-3 record, five points).
• The Stars have scored at least three goals in 20 games (17-2-1, 35 points).
• In the 10 games when Dallas has recorded a single power-play goal, it won every time (20 points).
• In the 14 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Dallas is 10-3-1 (21 points).
• The Stars have been outshot by opponents 15 times, and went 9-2-4 (22 points).

Penguins Splits and Trends

• The Penguins (14-7-5 overall) have posted a record of 1-5-6 in matchups that have needed OT this season.
• Pittsburgh has earned eight points (3-3-2) in its eight games decided by one goal.
• This season the Penguins scored only one goal in three games and they've earned two points (0-1-2) in those contests.
• Pittsburgh has two points (0-3-2) in five games this season when it has scored a pair of goals.
• The Penguins have scored at least three goals 17 times, earning 29 points from those matchups (14-2-1).
• This season, Pittsburgh has scored a lone power-play goal in eight games and registered six points with a record of 2-4-2.
• When it outshoots its opponent this season, Pittsburgh has posted a record of 4-4-2 (10 points).
• The Penguins' opponents have had more shots in 15 games. The Penguins finished 9-3-3 in those contests (21 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Stars vs. Penguins Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Sunday, December 7, 2025 at 6 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas

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