The Dallas Stars (24-7-5, on a three-game winning streak) host the Toronto Maple Leafs (15-14-5) at American Airlines Center. The game on Sunday, Dec. 21 begins at 7 p.m. ET on NHL Network.
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Get ready for this matchup by checking out our prediction for who will come out on top in Sunday's hockey action.
Over the past 10 contests, the Maple Leafs have gone 5-3-2 while putting up 30 total goals (three power-play goals on 26 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 11.5%). They have conceded 23 goals.
Stars vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Sunday
Our computer projections model for this matchup expects a final score of Stars 4, Maple Leafs 2.
- Moneyline Pick: Stars (-211)
- Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.3 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Stars (-1.5)
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Stars Splits and Trends
- The Stars have finished 4-5-9 in overtime matchups to contribute to an overall record of 24-7-5.
- Dallas is 10-1-3 (23 points) in its 14 games decided by one goal.
- Looking at the four times this season the Stars finished a game with just one goal, they have a 1-2-1 record, good for three points.
- Dallas has scored exactly two goals in seven games this season (2-2-3 record, seven points).
- The Stars have scored more than two goals in 24 games (21-2-1, 43 points).
- In the 13 games when Dallas has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it registered 24 points after finishing 12-1-0.
- In the 14 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Dallas is 10-3-1 (21 points).
- The Stars' opponents have had more shots in 21 games. The Stars went 13-4-4 in those contests (30 points).
Maple Leafs Splits and Trends
- The Maple Leafs have a record of 15-14-5 this season and are 4-5-9 in overtime matchups.
- In the 14 games Toronto has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 18 points.
- This season the Maple Leafs registered only one goal in one game and they lost in overtime.
- Toronto has eight points (3-5-2) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
- The Maple Leafs have scored more than two goals 22 times, earning 26 points from those matchups (12-8-2).
- This season, Toronto has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in 10 games and registered 10 points with a record of 4-4-2.
- When it outshoots its opponent this season, Toronto has posted a record of 3-5-1 (seven points).
- The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents 24 times this season, and earned 26 points in those games.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Stars Rank | Stars AVG | Maple Leafs AVG | Maple Leafs Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd | 3.47 | Goals Scored | 3.18 | 9th |
| 5th | 2.61 | Goals Allowed | 3.29 | 23rd |
| 29th | 25.2 | Shots | 26.7 | 22nd |
| 14th | 27.9 | Shots Allowed | 31.3 | 31st |
| 2nd | 32.11% | Power Play % | 13.95% | 32nd |
| 6th | 83.33% | Penalty Kill % | 82.61% | 8th |
Stars vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Sunday, December 21, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: NHL Network
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
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