Thunder vs. Spurs Predictions, Odds & Stats – Dec. 25

The Western-leading Oklahoma City Thunder (26-4) are favored by 9.5 points as they look to hold off the No. 2 team in the conference, the San Antonio Spurs (22-7). The squads square off Thursday, December 25, 2025 at 2:30 p.m. ET on ABC and ESPN.

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Thunder vs. Spurs Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projection model for this game predicts a final tally of Thunder 120, Spurs 112.

  • Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-372)
  • Total Pick: Under 235 (computer predicts 231.5 points)
  • Pick ATS: Spurs (+9.5)

Recent Thunder vs. Spurs Matchups

Thunder vs Spurs (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
12/23/2025 Thunder -6.5 235.5 -237 +195 130-110 SA
12/13/2025 Thunder -10.5 233.5 -513 +386 111-109 SA
3/2/2025 Thunder -13 238.5 -787 +541 146-132 OKC
11/19/2024 Thunder -10 222.5 -510 +382 110-104 SA
10/30/2024 Thunder -12.5 220.5 -787 +548 105-93 OKC

Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Oklahoma City has a 16-14-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Thunder have a 12-8 record against the spread when favored by 9.5 points or more this season.
  • In Oklahoma City's 29 games with a set total, 16 have hit the over (55.2%).
  • The Thunder have won 26, or 86.7%, of the 30 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Oklahoma City has a record of 20-1, a 95.2% win rate, when it's favored by -372 or more by bookmakers this season.

Spurs 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • San Antonio has a 15-12-2 record against the spread this season.
  • The Spurs are 1-0 against the spread so far this season when playing as at least 9.5-point underdogs.
  • San Antonio's games have gone over the point total 15 out of 29 times (51.7%).
  • The Spurs have gone 9-3 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 75% of those games).
  • San Antonio has played as a moneyline underdog of +294 or longer in only one game this season, which it won.

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Thunder vs. Spurs Injury Report

Thunder

Thunder:

Ajay Mitchell: Out (Concussion),

Nikola Topic: Out (Groin),

Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee),

Ousmane Dieng: Out (Calf),

Jaylin Williams: Out (Foot)

Spurs

Spurs: None

Thunder vs. Spurs Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Thursday, December 25, 2025
  • Game time: 2:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ABC and ESPN
  • Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • Arena: Paycom Center
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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