Capitals vs. Stars Prediction & Picks - Jan. 7

The Dallas Stars (25-10-8) will attempt to stop a six-game losing streak when they play the Washington Capitals (22-15-6) on the road on Wednesday, Jan. 7 at 7 p.m. ET on TNT.

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Here is our prediction for who will secure the victory in Wednesday's game.

The Stars have scored 38 goals over their past 10 outings, while giving up 33 goals. A total of 27 power-play opportunities during that span have netted six power-play goals (22.2%). They are 4-3-3 over those contests.

Capitals vs. Stars Predictions for Wednesday

Our computer model for this encounter predicts a final result of Capitals 3, Stars 2.

Moneyline Pick: Capitals (-112)
Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
Spread Pick: Stars (+1.5)

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Capitals Splits and Trends

The Capitals are 22-15-6 overall and 2-6-8 in overtime matchups.
In the 10 games Washington has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 5-4-1 record (good for 11 points).
In the five games this season the Capitals scored only one goal, they've finished 1-4-0 (two points).
Washington has taken eight points from the eight games this season when it scored exactly two goals (2-2-4 record).
The Capitals have scored at least three goals 28 times, and are 19-7-2 in those games (to register 40 points).
In the 15 games when Washington has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it has a 10-5-0 record (20 points).
In the 21 games when it outshot its opponent, Washington is 11-7-3 (25 points).
The Capitals' opponents have had more shots in 18 games. The Capitals went 10-6-2 in those contests (22 points).

Stars Splits and Trends

The Stars have a record of 25-10-8 this season and are 4-8-12 in overtime contests.
Dallas has earned 25 points (10-2-5) in its 17 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
In five games this season when the Stars finished a game with just one goal, they earned a total of three points (1-3-1).
Dallas has seven points (2-2-3) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
The Stars have scored three or more goals 30 times, earning 48 points from those matchups (22-4-4).
This season, Dallas has recorded a single power-play goal in 13 games has a record of 12-1-0 in those matchups.
When outshooting its opponent this season, Dallas is 10-4-1 (21 points).
The Stars' opponents have had more shots in 27 games. The Stars finished 14-6-7 in those contests (35 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Capitals Rank	Capitals AVG		Stars AVG	Stars Rank
8th	3.3	Goals Scored	3.4	3rd
7th	2.79	Goals Allowed	2.79	7th
8th	29.2	Shots	25.2	29th
17th	28.2	Shots Allowed	28	15th
30th	15.57%	Power Play %	30%	2nd
27th	76.87%	Penalty Kill %	81.29%	11th

Capitals vs. Stars Game Time and TV Channel

When: Wednesday, January 7, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
TV Channel: TNT
Live Stream: Watch this match on HBO Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
Where: Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.