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The Denver Nuggets (33-16) are 7.5-point underdogs when they visit the Oklahoma City Thunder (38-11) in a matchup between the top-ranked teams in the Western at Ball Arena on Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock.
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Thunder vs. Nuggets Predictions for Sunday
Our computer model for this matchup predicts a final tally of Thunder 118, Nuggets 114.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-256)
- Total Pick: Over 224.5 (computer predicts 232.0 points)
- Pick ATS: Nuggets (+7.5)
Recent Thunder vs. Nuggets Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/18/2025 | Thunder | -8.5 | 214.5 | -319 | +257 | 125-93 OKC |
| 5/15/2025 | Thunder | -5 | 217 | -196 | +163 | 119-107 DEN |
| 5/13/2025 | Thunder | -10 | 222 | -448 | +345 | 112-105 OKC |
| 5/11/2025 | Thunder | -6.5 | 228 | -275 | +224 | 92-87 OKC |
| 5/9/2025 | Thunder | -6.5 | 232 | -266 | +217 | 113-104 DEN |
| 5/7/2025 | Thunder | -10 | 229.5 | -488 | +371 | 149-106 OKC |
| 5/5/2025 | Thunder | -10.5 | 228.5 | -481 | +366 | 121-119 DEN |
| 3/10/2025 | Thunder | -8.5 | 240.5 | -403 | +315 | 140-127 DEN |
| 3/9/2025 | Thunder | -7.5 | 243.5 | -311 | +249 | 127-103 OKC |
| 11/6/2024 | Thunder | -7 | 224.5 | -256 | +215 | 124-122 DEN |
| 10/24/2024 | Nuggets | -2 | 228.5 | -134 | +113 | 102-87 OKC |
Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City is 23-26-0 against the spread this season.
- When they have played as at least 7.5-point favorites this season, the Thunder are 21-20 against the spread.
- The teams have hit the over in 26 of Oklahoma City's 49 games with a set total.
- The Thunder have entered the game as favorites 49 times this season and won 38, or 77.6%, of those games.
- Oklahoma City has a record of 34-8, a 81% win rate, when it's favored by -256 or more by bookmakers this season.
Nuggets 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Denver's ATS record is 29-20-0 this year.
- The Nuggets are 5-0 against the spread when an underdog by 7.5 points or more this year.
- A total of 29 of Denver's 49 games with a set total have hit the over (59.2%).
- The Nuggets have been the moneyline underdog 16 total times this season. They've finished 9-7 in those games.
- Denver has a record of 3-2 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +208 or longer (60%).
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Thunder vs. Nuggets Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee),
Nikola Topic: Out (Groin),
Alex Caruso: Out (Adductor),
Jalen Williams: Out (Thigh),
Ajay Mitchell: Out (Hip)
Nuggets
Nuggets:
Jamal Murray: Probable (Hip),
Nikola Jokic: Probable (Knee),
Christian Braun: Day-To-Day (Ankle),
Tamar Bates: Out (Foot),
Cameron Johnson: Out (Knee),
Aaron Gordon: Out (Hamstring)
Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Sunday, February 1, 2026
- Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: NBC/Peacock
- Location: Denver, Colorado
- Arena: Ball Arena
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