Thunder vs. Knicks Predictions, Odds & Stats – March 4

Cleveland Cavaliers v New York Knicks

Photo: Pamela Smith / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

Two hot teams meet when the Oklahoma City Thunder (48-15) visit the New York Knicks (40-22) on Wednesday, March 4, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET. The Thunder are 4.5-point favorites and put their three-game win streak on the line against the Knicks, who have won three straight.

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Listen to the game on ESPN New York

Thunder vs. Knicks Predictions for Wednesday

Our computer model for this matchup expects a final tally of Thunder 114, Knicks 113.

  • Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-174)
  • Total Pick: Over 221.5 (computer predicts 227.6 points)
  • Pick ATS: Knicks (+4.5)

Recent Thunder vs. Knicks Matchups

Thunder vs Knicks (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
1/10/2025 Thunder -3 224.5 -162 +136 126-101 OKC
1/3/2025 Thunder -4.5 224 -188 +157 117-107 OKC

Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Oklahoma City has gone 31-32-0 ATS this season.
  • The Thunder have a 28-30 record against the spread in games they were favored by 4.5 points or more this season.
  • The teams have hit the over in 35 of Oklahoma City's 62 games with a set total.
  • This season, the Thunder have won 46 out of the 59 games, or 78%, in which they've been favored.
  • Oklahoma City has a record of 45-11, a 80.4% win rate, when it's favored by -174 or more by oddsmakers this season.

Knicks 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • New York's ATS record is 33-29-0 this year.
  • The Knicks have not yet covered the spread as underdogs of 4.5 points or more this season (0-4).
  • A total of 29 of New York's 62 games with a set total have hit the over (46.8%).
  • The Knicks have compiled a 5-7 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 41.7% of those games).
  • New York has not yet won a game when entering as a moneyline underdog with odds of +145 or longer in three chances.

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Thunder vs. Knicks Injury Report

Thunder

Thunder:

Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee),

Jalen Williams: Out (Hamstring),

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Day-To-Day (Abdominal),

Ajay Mitchell: Day-To-Day (Abdomen),

Branden Carlson: Day-To-Day (Back),

Isaiah Hartenstein: Day-To-Day (Injury Management)

Knicks

Knicks:

Miles McBride: Out (Ankle)

Thunder vs. Knicks Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Wednesday, March 4, 2026
  • Game time: 7 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ESPN, MSG, and FDSOK
  • Location: New York City, New York
  • Arena: Madison Square Garden

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