Avalanche vs. Stars Prediction & Picks - March 6

The Colorado Avalanche (41-10-9) go on the road against the Dallas Stars (38-14-9) at American Airlines Center on Friday, March 6 at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Stars are riding a six-game home winning streak.

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To prepare for this matchup, here's who we expect to emerge victorious in Friday's hockey contest.

The Stars are 10-0-0 in their past 10 contests, totaling 42 goals while giving up 23 in that period. On 34 power-play opportunities during that time, they have scored 12 goals (35.3%).

Avalanche vs. Stars Predictions for Friday

Our computer projection model for this matchup predicts a final score of Avalanche 4, Stars 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Avalanche (-122)
• Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Stars (+1.5)

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Avalanche Splits and Trends

• The Avalanche have finished 3-9-12 in overtime games to contribute to an overall record of 41-10-9.
• In the 14 games Colorado has played that were decided by one goal, it has an 8-2-4 record (good for 20 points).
• Looking at the four times this season the Avalanche finished a game with just one goal, they have a 2-1-1 record, good for five points.
• Colorado has scored exactly two goals in seven games this season (1-4-2 record, four points).
• The Avalanche have scored three or more goals 48 times, and are 38-4-6 in those games (to record 82 points).
• In the 18 games when Colorado has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it has a 14-0-4 record (32 points).
• In the 45 games when it outshot its opponent, Colorado is 31-7-7 (69 points).
• The Avalanche have been outshot by opponents 12 times, and went 9-3-0 (18 points).

Stars Splits and Trends

• The Stars have a 7-9-16 record in overtime contests this season and a 38-14-9 overall record.
• Dallas has earned 38 points (16-4-6) in its 26 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
• Across the eight games this season the Stars finished with only one goal, they have earned three points.
• When Dallas has scored two goals this season, they've earned seven points (2-2-3 record).
• The Stars have earned 75 points in their 44 games with at least three goals scored.
• This season, Dallas has scored a single power-play goal in 20 games and picked up 36 points with a record of 18-2-0.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Dallas is 19-5-1 (39 points).
• The Stars have been outshot by opponents in 33 games, going 18-7-8 to register 44 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Avalanche vs. Stars Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Friday, March 6, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas

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