Photo: Brian Fluharty / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
Two of the NBA's top scorers face off when Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (second, 31.7 PPG) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (51-15) host Jaylen Brown (sixth, 28.3 PPG) and the Boston Celtics (43-22) on Thursday, March 12, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video and FDSOK. The Thunder are 7.5-point favorites.
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Thunder vs. Celtics Predictions for Thursday
Our computer model for this contest calls for a final tally of Thunder 115, Celtics 109.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-281)
- Total Pick: Over 216.5 (computer predicts 224.1 points)
- Pick ATS: Celtics (+7.5)
Recent Thunder vs. Celtics Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/12/2025 | Celtics | -2.5 | 229 | -148 | +124 | 118-112 OKC |
| 1/5/2025 | Thunder | -1.5 | 224.5 | -110 | -109 | 105-92 OKC |
Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City has a 31-35-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Thunder are 24-25 against the spread when favored by 7.5 points or more this season.
- In Oklahoma City's 65 games with a set total, 36 have hit the over (55.4%).
- This season, the Thunder have won 49 out of the 62 games, or 79%, in which they've been favored.
- Oklahoma City has a record of 40-8, a 83.3% win rate, when it's favored by -281 or more by bookmakers this season.
Celtics 2025-26 Betting Trends
- So far this season, Boston has put together a 38-27-0 record against the spread.
- The Celtics are a perfect 2-0 against the spread when an underdog by 7.5 points or more this year.
- In Boston's 65 games with a set total, 23 have hit the over (35.4%).
- The Celtics have put together a 9-9 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 50% of those games).
- Boston has won all two games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +228 or longer.
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Thunder vs. Celtics Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee),
Branden Carlson: Out (Back),
Jalen Williams: Out (Hamstring),
Isaiah Hartenstein: Out (Calf)
Celtics
Celtics:
Nikola Vucevic: Out (Finger),
Jayson Tatum: Questionable (Conditioning),
Derrick White: Questionable (Knee),
Payton Pritchard: Probable (Neck)
Thunder vs. Celtics Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Thursday, March 12, 2026
- Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: Amazon Prime Video and FDSOK
- Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- Arena: Paycom Center
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