Avalanche vs. Stars Prediction & Picks - April 4

Colorado Avalanche v Montreal Canadiens

Photo: Minas Panagiotakis / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

Two of the top teams in the Western Conference, the Colorado Avalanche (first at 49-15-10) and the Dallas Stars (second at 45-19-12), square off on Saturday, April 4 at 3 p.m. ET on ABC.

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Get ready for this matchup with a look at who we predict will come out on top in Saturday's contest.

The Stars have put up a 3-5-2 record over their past 10 games. They have scored 25 total goals (seven power-play goals on 30 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 23.3%) while giving up 27 goals to their opponents.

Avalanche vs. Stars Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projections model for this encounter calls for a final result of Avalanche 4, Stars 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Avalanche (-115)
  • Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Stars (+1.5)

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Avalanche Splits and Trends

  • The Avalanche are 6-10-16 in overtime contests on their way to a 49-15-10 overall record.
  • In the 17 games Colorado has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 10-3-4 record (good for 24 points).
  • In the six games this season the Avalanche scored just one goal, they went 2-2-2 (six points).
  • Colorado has finished 2-6-2 in the 10 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering six points).
  • The Avalanche are 45-6-6 in the 57 games when they have scored more than two goals (to register 96 points).
  • In the 24 games when Colorado has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it went 17-2-5 to record 39 points.
  • In games when it has outshot its opponent, Colorado is 37-12-8 (82 points).
  • The Avalanche have been outshot by opponents in 14 games, going 11-3-0 to record 22 points.

Stars Splits and Trends

  • The Stars have a 45-19-12 record this season and are 10-12-22 in matchups that have gone to overtime.
  • In the 33 games Dallas has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 46 points.
  • Across the 12 games this season the Stars ended with only one goal, they have earned seven points.
  • When Dallas has scored two goals this season, they've earned nine points (3-3-3 record).
  • The Stars have scored three or more goals in 53 games, earning 86 points from those contests.
  • This season, Dallas has scored a single power-play goal in 29 games has a record of 22-5-2 in those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Dallas is 21-8-2 (44 points).
  • The Stars have been outshot by opponents in 41 games, going 22-9-10 to register 54 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Avalanche Rank Avalanche AVG Stars AVG Stars Rank
1st 3.78 Goals Scored 3.33 8th
1st 2.53 Goals Allowed 2.7 2nd
1st 33.7 Shots 25.4 29th
5th 26.1 Shots Allowed 26.3 7th
25th 17.92% Power Play % 29.13% 2nd
2nd 83.49% Penalty Kill % 80.87% 11th

Avalanche vs. Stars Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 3 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas

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