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The Los Angeles Lakers are heavy 15.5-point underdogs heading into Game 1 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center on Tuesday, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock.
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Lakers vs. Thunder Predictions for Tuesday
Our computer projections model for this contest calls for a final tally of Thunder 120, Lakers 108.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-980)
- Total Pick: Over 213.5 (computer predicts 227.9 points)
- Pick ATS: Lakers (+15.5)
Recent Lakers vs. Thunder Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/7/2026 | Thunder | -18 | 220.5 | -2439 | +1160 | 123-87 OKC |
| 4/2/2026 | Thunder | -9.5 | 232.5 | -385 | +304 | 139-96 OKC |
| 2/9/2026 | Thunder | -6.5 | 222.5 | -242 | +197 | 119-110 OKC |
| 11/12/2025 | Thunder | -8 | 229.5 | -326 | +261 | 121-92 OKC |
| 4/8/2025 | Thunder | -9.5 | 230 | -405 | +316 | 136-120 OKC |
| 4/6/2025 | Thunder | -9.5 | 231 | -410 | +318 | 126-99 LAL |
| 11/29/2024 | Thunder | -3 | 229.5 | -153 | +129 | 101-93 OKC |
Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City is 39-43-0 against the spread this season.
- The Thunder have a 14-10 record against the spread this season when favored by 15.5 points or more.
- The teams have hit the over in 45 of Oklahoma City's 82 games with a set total.
- This season, the Thunder have been favored 77 times and won 62, or 80.5%, of those games.
- This season, Oklahoma City has won 22 of its 23 games, or 95.7%, when favored by at least -980 on the moneyline.
Lakers 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Los Angeles is 45-37-0 against the spread this year.
- The Lakers are winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 15.5-point underdogs.
- A total of 42 of Los Angeles' 82 games with a set total have hit the over (51.2%).
- The Lakers have gone 15-18 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 45.5% of those games).
- Los Angeles has played as a moneyline underdog of +642 or longer in just one game this season, which it lost.
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Lakers vs. Thunder Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Jalen Williams: Out (Hamstring),
Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee)
Lakers
Lakers:
Luka Doncic: Out (Hamstring)
Lakers vs. Thunder Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Tuesday, May 5, 2026
- Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: NBC/Peacock
- Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- Arena: Paycom Center
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